According to the Storm Prediction Center’s latest outlook, parts of West Michigan could experience severe weather Saturday morning.

A mesoconvective system is expected to cross Lake Michigan after 2 a.m. Saturday, potentially bringing a line of thunderstorms. While confidence in the system’s overall intensity remains low, increasing instability and warm advection could lead to damaging winds and some hail. The tornado threat is limited to the northern half of Michigan’s Lower Peninsula but remains minimal.

As of 11:04 a.m., the Storm Prediction Center has placed the following cities in these severe risk categories for Saturday morning:

• Slight Risk (Level 2/5): Areas north of the M-55 and M-115 corridors, including Cadillac, Harrison, Houghton Lake, Lake City, Manton, McBain, Mount Pleasant and Roscommon.

  • 15% chance of damaging winds, 15% chance of hail, 2% chance of tornadoes (per the Storm Prediction Center).

• Marginal Risk (Level 1/5): Areas south of the M-55 and M-115 corridors but north of the I-96 corridor, including Alma, Baldwin, Big Rapids, Canadian Lakes, Clare, Evart, Fremont, Grand Rapids, Greenville, Hesperia, Howard City, Kent City, Lakeview, Mecosta, Morley, Newaygo, Reed City, Remus, Sheridan, Sparta, Stanton, Stanwood and White Cloud.

  • 5% chance of damaging winds, 5% chance of hail, less than 1% chance of tornadoes (per the Storm Prediction Center).

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