According to the latest NWS Storm Prediction Center outlook from Thursday morning, parts of Michigan will be under a Level 1 “Marginal Risk” for severe weather early Saturday morning. 

Counties listed in the marginal risk include Mecosta, Montcalm, Kent, Newaygo, and Lake. The timeline for the risk will be between 2:00 A.M. and 10:00 A.M. on Saturday, Mar. 15. 

An intense cyclone system is forecasted to develop from the central Plains to the Upper Midwest late Friday evening, creating a “bow-shaped” complex across Wisconsin and Illinois.

The severe risk will become more marginal as the system approaches Michigan early Saturday morning. Gusty winds of 40 to 50 MPH will be possible in all counties north of the M-42 corridor. Counties south could see even higher wind gusts of up to 60 MPH. 

Additional risk for hail will be monitored, although it is not very strong at this time.